POE 3.23 – How uncommon is the “I See Brothers” Fracturing Orb card in Path of Exile? Gathering data from 20,000 Strands.

"Running 20k Strand maps to find out how rare 'I See Brothers' is. The drop rate of this divination card is rarer than finding a needle in a haystack. Pre-commit to a certain number of maps to avoid reporting bias. Divination scarabs won't help. Let's do this, and may your kills give interesting results! 💪🗺️ #PathofExile"

Introduction 🃏

How do you grab yourself a drink? It's time for some Path of Exile discussion. Granny Gear Games added the Divination card IC Brothers to the game in patch 3.23. Now, this is one of the most sought-after divination cards in the game, and depending on the day of the week, it'll be the third, fourth, fifth, or sixth most valuable divination card available. PoE. Ninja currently has it in position five. This divination card is particularly valuable because it grants a fracturing orb. Although there is some friction added to that because you do need to compile a set of two. In any case, it's a very valuable commodity.

Rarity of the Divination Card 🧐

I wanted to work out just how rare the "I See Brothers" divination card is. We know exactly where it drops, and there are a number of screenshots posted early in the league. The card can drop from map bosses where the map natively has exactly two map bosses on it. This includes maps like Strand, but not those that normally have one map boss but have been increased to two by the twin daix.

• Bugs Associated with the Divination Card
  • The ATL map boss can drop this divination card, but probably shouldn't be able to.
  • The Map boss found in Plateau map that has the same name as the ATL map boss appears to be unable to drop IC Brothers.
  • Drops of this divination card should be proed by the eldritch minions gain x% chance to drop an additional divination card, but this does not appear to be the case.

Running a Crowdsource Test on IC Brothers Drop Rate 📊

I want to coordinate a massive effort to run 20,000 Strand maps to try to pin down the drop rate of this divination card pretty accurately. To deal with any biases, people are asked to pre-commit to a certain number of maps. Each heading should have a minimum of 2 paragraphs.

• Procedure for Participating
  • Reserve one of the 144 blocks of maps and fill up a whole tab with Strand Maps.
  • Ensure maps are not unidentified and take a screenshot of what you get before running the maps.
  • It's okay if it takes a little while to complete the 144 Maps.

Conduct Every Task Carefully 📝

The plan is to run a genuinely large sample of Strand maps and pin down the drop rate of the divination card pretty accurately.

• Dealing with Reporting Bias
  • People are more likely to talk online about a result they think is pretty out of the ordinary. To eliminate this bias, participants are asked to pre-commit to a certain number of maps.

Let's all collaborate to shed light on the rarity of the IC Brothers divination card in Path of Exile!